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venerdì 14 febbraio 2014

Is an Emergency Fund Necessary?

Is an Emergency Fund Necessary?



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I’m a pretty big advocate for emergency funds – cash stowed away in a savings account for a rainy day. Establishing an emergency fund is one of the first things Sarah and I did during our financial turnaround and that emergency fund took care of several difficulties we faced during the first year or so of our financial turnaround.


My belief is in line with that of Dave Ramsey: the first move anyone should make when they’re facing the reality of their debts for the first time is to save up a $1,000 emergency fund. Later on, when you have high-interest debts out of the way, a larger emergency fund is even better.


Even so, there are arguments out there against emergency funds, stating that they’re not a particularly good idea. Those arguments usually rest on three key points.


First, emergency funds stowed away in savings accounts do not earn a good return. Savings accounts earn somewhere between 0.5% and 1.5%, depending on your bank. You can earn a much stronger long-term return in other investments, such as the stock market which historically has returned somewhere around 7%. You would be foolish to make cash savings a significant part of your investment portfolio.


Second, most people have credit available to them, so they should use that in an emergency. If you’re facing a situation that you can’t cover with cash, you could simply use the existing credit on a credit card to cover it. After that, you can pay off the credit card quickly.


Third, emergency funds are a terrible idea if you have high interest debt. A debt sitting at 20% is costing you far more than the savings account is earning for you. You should pay off the debt first.


Here’s my take on each of these points.


First, everything you invest your money in excels in two of three areas and fails in the third one. An investment is either low risk, has a high long term return, or it’s highly liquid (meaning you can get your money out very quickly). You can choose two of those things with almost every investment.


A savings account provides the two things that you’re really looking for in a time of personal crisis – it’s low risk and it’s liquid. The high return is much less important because you shouldn’t be keeping a significant portion of your net worth in an emergency fund. It’s not an investment – it’s a buffer against an emergency.


Right now, our emergency fund makes up only a few percentage points of our net worth. Even when we first started our financial turnaround, we only established a $1,000 emergency fund, which was still only a small fraction of the total value of our assets.


An emergency fund is simply a sacrifice of returns on a small portion of your money so that you have something on hand that’s very liquid and very low risk. It’s not meant as a major part of your retirement savings or your investment strategy. It’s meant as a buffer against things that might happen to you.


Second, trusting in a line of credit means trusting completely in the discretion of a bank. It relies on your credit report remaining clean – untimely identity theft can wreck your credit report for a while and leave you without that credit. It also relies on the business policy of the bank remaining constant, which isn’t a promise – many banks have lowered credit limits over the past several years on large numbers of their customers.


Another problem with this angle is that using a credit card has a strong likelihood of meaning that you’re going to be paying a high interest rate when you pay it back. Yes, there are many emergencies where you’ll be able to pay it all back before the interest kicks in, but what about unemployment, for example? The average duration of unemployment these days is about 36 weeks. It’s pretty likely that you’ll accumulate a nice pile of debt and interest during that kind of timeframe – and, ideally, the bank won’t notice and cancel your line of credit.


A further problem is that many Americans simply don’t have adequate credit to rely on the banks in an emergency. According to this report, 33 million Americans have insufficient information on their credit report to generate a credit score, 24 million more Americans have no credit history whatsoever, and another 61 million Americans have a subprime credit score. That’s 118 million Americans who have insufficient credit with which to obtain a credit card. These are not people who can safely rely on the bank extending sufficient credit to them.


Beyond that, simply having a good credit score isn’t a guarantee that your credit may not fall during a time of crisis. 72% of Americans live paycheck to paycheck – as soon as their paycheck disappears for even a week, bills aren’t getting paid and their credit starts to drop pretty quickly thereafter. This isn’t really a group that should rely on banks extending credit, either.


Finally, repaying debt is more than just a math problem. To start off the explanation here, I’ll quote Dave Ramsey from The Total Money Makeover , page 105:


“Since I hate debt so much, people often ask why we don’t start with the debt. I used to do that when I first started teaching and counseling, but I discovered that people would stop their whole Total Money Makeover because of an emergency – they felt guilty that they had to stop debt-reducing to survive. It’s like stopping your whole fitness program because you get a sore knee from a fall when running; you’ll find any excuse will do. The alternator on the car would go out, and that $300 repair ruined the whole plan because the purchase had to go on a credit card since there was no emergency fund. If you use debt after swearing off it, you lose the momentum to keep going.”


When you’re first trying to do something to improve your life, it’s incredibly hard. It’s very easy to be pessimistic about it and be skeptical that things can ever really change. When you hit that first roadblock, it can be incredibly tempting to just simply quit. I’ve seen a lot of people – including myself – abandon goals at this point.


It is well worth sacrificing a relatively small amount of financial gain in the short term to significantly decrease the chance for roadblocks to stand in your way over the longer term.


Once you’re past that point – you’ve paid off your high interest debts and you’re saving and investing for big future goals – good financial decision-making can feel as easy as riding a bicycle. However, a person who is just taking the first steps to a turnaround is much like a child learning to ride for the first time, and the emergency fund is like a bike helmet and training wheels. Sure, they might get going a little faster without them if everything goes perfectly, but life isn’t perfect. We all stumble. It’s a lot easier to get back up and jump in the saddle if you’ve got something in place to cushion your fall.


During that period where you’re saving up a $1,000 emergency fund, you are absolutely causing yourself to build up more interest on your credit card because you’re not paying it off, but you’re doing so to prepare yourself for success in paying it off. What you’re doing is spending a few moments to strap on your bike helmet before you jump on board. Sure, you probably won’t be the first one to the end of the block, but you’re also going to be far less likely to give up when you fall off your bike because the mistake won’t hurt nearly as much.


A final point: most of the arguments here don’t mean anything to you if you don’t really believe emergencies can happen to you. Different people have different levels of safety nets in their life. Some people can rely on their families for financial support no matter the situation. Others have an employment background and connections that are basically infallible. Still others receive a very high income combined with at least a basic understanding that they need to save or invest at least a little of it. For those people, a $1,000 emergency fund is going to seem rather unimportant.


On the other hand, all I have to do is look back at some of the experiences of my own childhood to see how an emergency fund can make a tremendous difference. My father was often laid off from his job and during those times an emergency fund sustained our family. My old man diligently put aside a little bit of money directly from each of his checks into a credit union and we used that credit union when times were tough. The day-to-day reality of my parents’ life didn’t involve investing in the stock market. It involved making sure food was on the table and handling many little emergencies by the skin of their teeth.


Like it or not, half of Americans live in what is considered a low-income situation and, as I stated earlier, 72% of Americans live paycheck to paycheck. These are people that, in many ways, share the experience of the household of my childhood. Turning the ship around isn’t going to be easy for them. Putting on a helmet before they hop on that bike is going to make a big difference.


If you’re figuring out what your first step should be in terms of turning around your debt situation, my recommendation – and Dave Ramsey’s, too – is to have a $1,000 emergency fund. Consider it your helmet for the bicycle you’re about to learn to ride.


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giovedì 6 febbraio 2014

Citi, Goldman FX Heads Leaving In "Entirely Unrelated To FX Probe …

Citi, Goldman FX Heads Leaving In "Entirely Unrelated To FX Probe …



When Reuters reported earlier today that Anil Prasad, the global head of foreign exchange at Citigroup, the world’s second largest currency trader, is leaving the bank, our ears perked up. The reason is the news overnight that according to the British financial watchdog, Martin Wheatley, the allegations for FX manipulation, “are every bit as bad as they have been with Libor” which supposedly means they are taking them seriously. Could this departure have anything to do with a probe that has already snared head FX trades at JPM, Deutsche and countless other banks? Well, Reuters promptly clarified that Prasad’s departure is not related to the global investigation into allegations of currency market manipulation, a source familiar with the matter said. “Anil’s decision is his own and entirely …



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The reason is the news overnight that according to the British financial watchdog, Martin Wheatley, the allegations for FX manipulation, "are every bit as bad as they have been with Libor" which supposedly means they are


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martedì 28 gennaio 2014

Trader Chat, January 27 – Business Insider

Trader Chat, January 27 – Business Insider



REUTERS/ Brendan McDermid Dave Lutz of Stifel, Nicolaus passes along his roundup of what traders are chatting about on this very busy morning. Good Morning! US Futures are higher this AM – with the E-Minis tacking on 40bp, but Nasdaq lagging by 20bp despite AAPL being well bid into earnings tonight, as CSCO is off 2% (JPM), Solar companies are under pressure (Lower China projections), and there is some bloodletting in Biotech. EU Markets have been steadily recovering from lows, as we remove some of the terrors from last week: France was not downgraded, and the China Trust is not defaulting. Interesting the EU fins are only off 70bp, as headlines from Germany suggest Capital Shortfalls in excess of $110B (The 2 main banks needing Capital, …



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Dave Lutz of Stifel, Nicolaus passes along his roundup of what traders are chatting about on this very busy morning. Good Morning! US Futures are higher this AM � with the E-Minis tacking on 40bp, but Nasdaq lagging by


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domenica 22 dicembre 2013

Breaking bad…habits

Breaking bad…habits



This Reader Story comes from Brian. Brian blogs at Debt Discipline, where he writes about his family’s personal experience with debt and paying off over $109k in debt. You can follow Brian on twitter @debtdiscipline. http://www.debtdiscipline.com/Some reader stories contain general advice; others are examples of how a GRS reader achieved financial success or failure. These stories feature folks with all levels of financial maturity and income. Want to submit your own reader story? Here’s how.We didn’t accumulate our debt in one night, it just felt that way. It took years of overspending to rack up over $109k in consumer debt, but in the summer of 2010 we were out of cash and had maxed out all five of our credit cards. …



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This Reader Story comes from Brian. Brian blogs at Debt Discipline, where he writes about his family’s personal experience with debt and paying off over $109k in debt. You can follow Brian on twitter @debtdiscipline. http://www.debtdiscipline.com/


Some reader stories contain general advice; others are examples of how a GRS reader achieved financial success or failure. These stories feature folks with all levels of financial maturity and income. Want to submit your own reader story? Here’s how.


We didn’t accumulate our debt in one night, it just felt that way. It took years of overspending to rack up over $109k in consumer debt, but in the summer of 2010 we were out of cash and had maxed out all five of our credit cards. Our debt-to-income ratio had ballooned and there was no more borrowing that could be done.


As a husband and father of three children and the one handling the finances in the house at the time, it felt like the debt appeared over night as I told the family we couldn’t afford a family vacation that summer. They were disappointed and I was embarrassed that I let it get to this point.


Out of borrowing options (which was the best thing that happen to us), it forced us to look for other options. I hit the Internet looking for information, hoping to find a get-out-of-debt-quick scheme that I had been overlooking for all these years and would still be able to salvage our summer vacation.


What I found was a number of personal finance blogs and a guy named Dave Ramsey. I read as much information online as possible and picked up a copy of Dave’s book at my local library, which I read over a weekend.


I was shocked to find that there was no secret to being debt free, that the basic principles were common sense. Spend less then you make, keep a budget, have an emergency fund, and communicate with your spouse. These were all new to us. We typically spent more than we made, using credit cards to pay for things. We never had a plan and did not discuss our finances as a family.


Ch-ch-ch-ch-changes


That changed in June of 2010. We changed our bad habits, we stopped overspending, and we began communicating and began to work a debt snowball.


We made changes in our daily lives, as a family, to help repay our debt. We gave up items that I would call luxury items, things that were wants not needs. For example, I gave up Sirius satellite radio, my wife cut back on salon visits, and my children gave up GameFly.


We made changes in our food budget. We stopped eating out — even fast food would cost a family of five between $30 and $35 and a chain restaurant was a minimum $75 bill. Now when we do eat out, we enjoy it much more. We made better choices when grocery shopping. We don’t buy as much food each week and wasting food is throwing money away each week.


We learned to say “No” often, to family, friends, co-workers, etc. If it wasn’t in our budget, we politely said no. If someone pushed back, we would explain what we were working on with our finances.


We have made a point to include our three children, ages 14, 14 and 11, in our budget discussions. We want them to understand why we are making these changes and prepare them for their futures. We don’t want them to make the mistakes we have made.


Paying it forward


We began to talk about our finances with family and friends. I’m surprised at how often people respond with their own tales of debt issues when we share our story. We often share as much information as we can, supplying resources like websites and books, also suggesting that they look at their own bank or credit union for additional information. Most financial institutions offer free debt/credit counseling.


We have purchased many copies of Dave Ramsey’s “The Total Money Makeover” and have given them away as gifts. I have seen various reactions to people receiving the book. Some read it in just a few days and start making changes. Others have never opened them and the books are now collecting dust. It’s not bothersome to see the book collecting dust; it’s totally up to the individual to take action. For those whom I have helped, I’m glad that I have been able to provide valuable information.


It brings a smile to my face to know I helped them make a change in their own finances. Now they have information that they didn’t have before. All I ask in return is that they pay it forward. When they finish the book, they pass it on to someone else and ask that person to do the same.


Fast forward 42 months and it’s clear to me now that there are no big secrets to personal finance, no get-rich-quick schemes; most of it is common sense. That’s not what I thought years ago.


With a little research and a little help, you can dig your way out of most situations. Taking it a step further, I have sat down with some friends and family to review their finances to give them my expert opinion. I’m half-joking, but I feeling like an expert now compared with where I was three years ago. I continue to read books, articles and blogs as we continue paying down our debt, increasing our knowledge as we go.


We have paid off $84k in 42 months. The repayment of our outstanding debt is just the first step in the process. It feels good to be on the right track and share this information with others. I would not change the last 42 months. The sacrifices have been so worth it. The entire family has managed. It hasn’t always been easy, but we keep the end goal in mind of being debt free. Having a surplus of over $2k per month can really keep your family motivated too.


What have been your personal keys to your financial success? Have you done anything outside of the general/generic guidelines to reach financial success?


Reminder: This is a story from one of your fellow readers. Please be nice. It can be scary to put your story out in public for the first time. Remember that this guest author isn’t a professional writer, and is just learning about money like you are. Unduly nasty comments on readers’ stories will be removed.


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venerdì 29 novembre 2013

If You Want a New Year’s Resolution to Actually Succeed, Start Now

If You Want a New Year’s Resolution to Actually Succeed, Start Now



Many people make New Year’s resolutions – I do it myself some years.They’re usually made with the best of intentions, with the hopes of creating some level of self-improvement. They also usually start off like gangbusters and then fall by the wayside by the start of February.Why does that happen?For starters, resolutions are often poorly planned. People rarely think of them seriously – or at all – until very close to the turn of the year. Sometimes, they don’t even think about it until after the calendar flips.Another problem is that the focus is on a very specific end result that sets up failure even in the face of success. “I’m going to lose fifty pounds this year” sounds impressive, as does …



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Many people make New Year’s resolutions – I do it myself some years.


They’re usually made with the best of intentions, with the hopes of creating some level of self-improvement. They also usually start off like gangbusters and then fall by the wayside by the start of February.


Why does that happen?


For starters, resolutions are often poorly planned. People rarely think of them seriously – or at all – until very close to the turn of the year. Sometimes, they don’t even think about it until after the calendar flips.


Another problem is that the focus is on a very specific end result that sets up failure even in the face of success. “I’m going to lose fifty pounds this year” sounds impressive, as does “I’m going to pay off all of my credit cards this year.” The problem is that even if you lost 40 pounds this year or you paid off all but one credit card, you’re still going to “fail” in terms of your goal.


Also, “big” goals can be inspiring, but they also make it easy to just say “it’s impossible” and give up on it once you blow through that initial rush of effort. Speaking of which…


A third problem is overdoing it early on. You’ve decided to exercise four times a week. You hit the gym on January 2nd like a ton of other people and you do four miles on the treadmill. You feel pretty good, but a little bit worn out because you went from essentially doing nothing to walking/jogging four miles. You wake up the next day and your legs feel like lead, plus you have foot blisters. You’re miserable. You push yourself to go a few more times, but you begin to associate those gym trips with misery and before long, you’ve written off the goal.


Another example: you’ve decided to improve your diet, so the first three days you eat like a raw vegan. On the fourth day, you’re practically starving, so you decide to “cheat” a little and have a slice of pizza. That barely does anything at all to your pent-up hunger and a day or two later, you’re eating like you’re ravenous. See you later, diet!


Another example: you decide to cut down on your unnecessary expenses. You don’t splurge for a week, but then a friend calls you up to go do something fun that you wouldn’t have thought twice about before. You decide you’ve been “good” and go do it because it’s “social” and it’s not really “spending money.” At the end of the month, you realize you’ve spent almost as much as you did in December, so you decide it’s all foolishness and give up.


This type of pattern repeats itself over and over again with all kinds of goals.


So, how do you build a New Year’s resolution that actually works?


First, know yourself. No matter how much you believe in your goal, you’re not going to have drastically different behaviors or fitness level or anything after the year changes. Don’t choose a goal that would require you to exhibit a behavior for a year that you can’t even pull off for a few days in a row right now, because it’s not going to happen.


Second, set up a goal that allows you to succeed every day. Rather than saying, “I’m going to lose fifty pounds this year,” simply say that “I’m going to eat a ‘vegan before six’ diet each day this year” or “I’m going to put at least a quarter in a jar under the sink each day this year and live off of the rest of my income.” That way, the goal for success each day is really clear so you can judge your success or failure solely in the short term.


Third, set up a goal that’s easy to succeed at but puts you in a place to achieve more each day. Don’t make your daily goal something that you’re going to have trouble pulling off in a row of days. For example, if you’re not used to exercise, saying “I’m going to run three miles each day this year” is begging for failure. Instead, simply say “I’m going to stand on the treadmill and turn it on each day this year.” Why? Your goal really is to just go to the gym or the exercise room each day, because if you get yourself to that point, you’re likely to exercise at least a little bit.


For that “jar” goal I mentioned above, the simple act of going to that jar to put in money is the success, but in the act of doing so, you’re likely to want to put in as much money as you can each day because it feels like an even bigger win.


Finally, remind yourself of that goal. I like sending text reminders to myself at roughly the time of day where I’m most likely to do it. A text reminder to exercise at a time that’s right near my first morning “eye strain prevention” break can really push me to go exercise, for example.


Take what you want from the year. Break it down into a daily goal. Make that goal really easy to achieve. Make that goal one that puts you in a place to do even more so it feels like a “big win” each day. Remind yourself of that goal so that it’s right in your mind.


Why start now? Thinking through a goal like this takes thought. You have to think about where you’re at. You have to think about what you really want. You have to devise a goal that really works. Most importantly, you need to have whatever support you need for that goal in place before it starts so that you can step right into it.


Now’s the time to start planning.


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