Range contraction and range expansion

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LM: Leg Mason Inc.

One of the basic tendencies of markets is that periods of range contraction or low volatility are followed by periods of range expansion or volatility implosion.

To anticipate a breakout you have to scan for or identify stocks in range contraction or low volatility phase. From that stage the stock will eventually breakout in either direction. In case of LM it was a bullish breakout. It offered a low risk entry point.

Long running trends have series of such range contraction and range expansion periods. This offers swing traders several opportunities for swing trades.

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LGIH the kind of setup I like

If you are serious about your trading and want to build an enduring edge the Stockbee Member site might help you. Members tell me they have tried lot of things before coming to my site and it has offered them the most extensive and detailed methods to swing and position trade.The member site is one of the most recommended site for learning to trade by other traders and bloggers. No advertising, no hard marketing, no promotions, no free offers, no affiliate marketing, no incentive to other bloggers to promote the site, no constant twits self promoting the site and no tall claims, every member comes through word of mouth recommendation.As a member you will learn the basics of swing trading, momentum investing, growth investing and …

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LGIH is a recent homebuilder IPO with good growth. It has been climbing up nicely since IPO. Today it has a range expansion.

Prior to the range expansion it had very orderly sideways consolidation of many weeks. A narrow range day before range expansion day. Series of narrow range days in consolidation.

That is the kind of setup I look for.

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LGIH the kind of setup I like

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A bounce but will it follow through

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The few days of oversold reading on index resulted in a bounce on Friday. That has been the pattern in this market . V shaped recovering after few days of selling.

However underlying stock action in momentum stock does not show high probability of continuation. Most of the momentum leaders are in retreat or range bound. There are very few orderly pullbacks.

That means one need to look at the new leaders. Banks were clearly the new leaders yesterday with several of them having breakouts on Friday. If they follow through then they will offer swing opportunities.

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A bounce but will it follow through

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