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giovedì 30 gennaio 2014

Find something that is structural

If you are serious about your trading and want to build an enduring edge the Stockbee Member site might help you. Members tell me they have tried lot of things before coming to my site and it has offered them the most extensive and detailed methods to swing and position trade.The member site is one of the most recommended site for learning to trade by other traders and bloggers. No advertising, no hard marketing, no promotions, no free offers, no affiliate marketing, no incentive to other bloggers to promote the site, no constant twits self promoting the site and no tall claims, every member comes through word of mouth recommendation.As a member you will learn the basics of swing trading, momentum investing, growth investing and …

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Find something that is structural in nature of the market.

As a trader your task is to find some structural phenomenon to build your edge around.

It should exists in the market and not figment of imagination.

If you find structural edge it will last decades.

What are some of the structural things in the market:

1 Market moves in momentum bursts

2 Momentum stocks outperform non momentum stocks

3 longer term momentum is mean reverting

4 Surprisingly good earnings leads to rallies

5 News leads to immediate moves

6 small cap/small float outperform larger stocks

7 lower priced stocks outperform higher priced stocks

Now if you know any of these you can build your trading around it.

Structural edge is something that has been tested thousands of time and has been around for hundeds of years.

For more info: Find something that is structural

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Find something that is structural

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Trading, breakout, jesse-livermore, king, member, pivots-breakout, range, stockbee-dollar, stockbee-member, stockbee-trend, strategy

sabato 18 gennaio 2014

Buy range expansion at the beginning of a swing

If you are serious about your trading and want to build an enduring edge the Stockbee Member site might help you. Members tell me they have tried lot of things before coming to my site and it has offered them the most extensive and detailed methods to swing and position trade.The member site is one of the most recommended site for learning to trade by other traders and bloggers. No advertising, no hard marketing, no promotions, no free offers, no affiliate marketing, no incentive to other bloggers to promote the site, no constant twits self promoting the site and no tall claims, every member comes through word of mouth recommendation.As a member you will learn the basics of swing trading, momentum investing, growth investing and …

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trading sizing result range breakout members livermore jesse livermore expansion trading

Buy range expansion at the beginning of a swing. That is the essence of swing trading. Swing trading tries to capture part of a trend move or a range move. If you buy at beginning of swing you can sell near end of swing.

Buy range expansion after a period of 5 to 10 day consolidation and an orderly consolidation. Orderly consolidations are low volatility periods where buyer and seller at equilibrium. Buy range expansion preceded by low volatility period. A range expansion from that phase indicates fresh buying pressure.

Buy range expansion after a negative day. A range expansion preceded by a negative day indicates start of a fresh swing.

Buy range expansion after a narrow range day. Narrower the range better it is. Narrow ranges often lead to explosive moves on range expansion.Buy range expansion after a series of narrow range days. That is even better.

Buy range expansion if stock is not up 3 days in a row. As a swing trader, if you regularly buy stocks up 3 days in a row , you are likely to sooner or later blow up your account. The Professional trader buy on first day of the swing as soon as range expansion is signalled. Second day follow through id driven by residual buyers, newsletter followers or slow reactors. Third day is when many novice notice the move and get excited. the professionals sell in to that euphoria. They are happy with their 8 to 20% profit in 3 days and the third day buyer becomes the bag holder.

Buy range expansion early in a trend. Say a stock is rang bound for 3 to 6 month and then it breaks out then that is a young trend. Buying proper momentum burst setups in these your trend first or second or third time works . But same stock when it is up say 6 month and trading near its high and all time high at some stage buying a extended move on that kind of stock will likely hasten your death as a trader. Even if you have to trade those kind of extended moves , ensure extremely good risk control and position sizing. As trends get extended they can become vulnerable to swing failures.

The most important thing to remember as swing trader is that always buy range expansion at beginning of swing move. That one rule can make you millions and save you lot of heartburn.

trading sizing result range breakout members livermore jesse livermore expansion trading

For more info: Buy range expansion at the beginning of a swing

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Buy range expansion at the beginning of a swing

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Trading, expansion, jesse-livermore, livermore, members, range-breakout, result, sizing, trading

venerdì 17 gennaio 2014

LGIH the kind of setup I like

If you are serious about your trading and want to build an enduring edge the Stockbee Member site might help you. Members tell me they have tried lot of things before coming to my site and it has offered them the most extensive and detailed methods to swing and position trade.The member site is one of the most recommended site for learning to trade by other traders and bloggers. No advertising, no hard marketing, no promotions, no free offers, no affiliate marketing, no incentive to other bloggers to promote the site, no constant twits self promoting the site and no tall claims, every member comes through word of mouth recommendation.As a member you will learn the basics of swing trading, momentum investing, growth investing and …

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LGIH is a recent homebuilder IPO with good growth. It has been climbing up nicely since IPO. Today it has a range expansion.

Prior to the range expansion it had very orderly sideways consolidation of many weeks. A narrow range day before range expansion day. Series of narrow range days in consolidation.

That is the kind of setup I look for.

For more info: LGIH the kind of setup I like

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LGIH the kind of setup I like

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Trading, intensity, jesse-livermore, livermore, members, pivots-breakout, stockbee-dollar, strategy, them-the-most

martedì 7 gennaio 2014

During this earnings season become an extremist

If you are serious about your trading and want to build an enduring edge the Stockbee Member site might help you. Members tell me they have tried lot of things before coming to my site and it has offered them the most extensive and detailed methods to swing and position trade.The member site is one of the most recommended site for learning to trade by other traders and bloggers. No advertising, no hard marketing, no promotions, no free offers, no affiliate marketing, no incentive to other bloggers to promote the site, no constant twits self promoting the site and no tall claims, every member comes through word of mouth recommendation.As a member you will learn the basics of swing trading, momentum investing, growth investing and …

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The earnings season is just starting and that offers an opportunity to find some big multi month, multi quarter, or multi year moves. For the Working People Portfolio I look for growth stock just starting their move.

If you want to profit from the earnings trade, during this earnings season become an extremist

Look for extreme earnings growth (just starting out to grow). Look for first major earnings acceleration.

Look for extreme sales growth (just starting out and of magnitude likely to make the company a billion dollar company in a year). If that happens stock price explodes.

Look for extreme price strength ( just starting young trend with explosive first leg). Look for stock up 80% plus from their 52 week low and find out why they are going up. There must be some catalyst.

Look for extreme neglect (multi year , low float, low volume, no analyst, low number of funds ownership). Neglect+surprise= big move

You have to be first to find them as early as possible and not when everyone knows about it… . Find growth as it just starts.

That is where big opportunity is in earnings season….

For that in process term look at every stock up 5% plus on with high volume on earnings day and ask yourself these questions:

is this a game changing earnings

is this first or second major earnings acceleration

is this earnings right at the beginning of a new trend for this stock

is this earnings growth likely to continue for 2 to 3 quarters

You do not need to be analyst to do it. Just use simple public knowledge to make these decisions.

You can use free sites like Finviz to do this.

The key is to develop a process for doing this daily during earnings season.

2 or3 good earnings idea in a quarter can do wonders for your returns.

For more info: During this earnings season become an extremist

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During this earnings season become an extremist

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Trading, breakout, breakouts, intensity, jesse-livermore, market, range-breakout, stockbee, stockbee-dollar, stockbee-member, stockbee-trend, strategy

venerdì 20 dicembre 2013

Santa Clause rally is here

If you are serious about your trading and want to build an enduring edge the Stockbee Member site might help you. Members tell me they have tried lot of things before coming to my site and it has offered them the most extensive and detailed methods to swing and position trade.The member site is one of the most recommended site for learning to trade by other traders and bloggers. No advertising, no hard marketing, no promotions, no free offers, no affiliate marketing, no incentive to other bloggers to promote the site, no constant twits self promoting the site and no tall claims, every member comes through word of mouth recommendation.As a member you will learn the basics of swing trading, momentum investing, growth investing and …

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After spending few weeks post Thanksgiving going sideways the indexes had big bounce after the Fed meeting. This bullish move will likely continue in to new year. You should not have shortage of swing trading candidates with this bullish action.

Rotational kind of action continues and money was rotating in to new sectors like financials and home builders. IPO ‘s continue to do well.

All in all good year end action so far.

For more info: Santa Clause rally is here

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Santa Clause rally is here

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Trading, breakouts, jesse-livermore, market, pivots-breakout, range, range-breakout, stockbee, stockbee-dollar, stockbee-member, strategy

lunedì 11 novembre 2013

A bounce but will it follow through

If you are serious about your trading and want to build an enduring edge the Stockbee Member site might help you. Members tell me they have tried lot of things before coming to my site and it has offered them the most extensive and detailed methods to swing and position trade.The member site is one of the most recommended site for learning to trade by other traders and bloggers. No advertising, no hard marketing, no promotions, no free offers, no affiliate marketing, no incentive to other bloggers to promote the site, no constant twits self promoting the site and no tall claims, every member comes through word of mouth recommendation.As a member you will learn the basics of swing trading, momentum investing, growth investing and …

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The few days of oversold reading on index resulted in a bounce on Friday. That has been the pattern in this market . V shaped recovering after few days of selling.

However underlying stock action in momentum stock does not show high probability of continuation. Most of the momentum leaders are in retreat or range bound. There are very few orderly pullbacks.

That means one need to look at the new leaders. Banks were clearly the new leaders yesterday with several of them having breakouts on Friday. If they follow through then they will offer swing opportunities.

For more info: A bounce but will it follow through

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A bounce but will it follow through

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Trading, breakout, jesse-livermore, king, market, member, range, stockbee, stockbee-dollar, stockbee-member, strategy, them-the-most, trading